Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.244951 0.282812 0.324380 0.373377 0.429527 0.491840 0.566220
2024-10-27 0.183698 0.232371 0.290619 0.365358 0.458620 0.571067 0.716875
2024-11-03 0.149814 0.205985 0.278689 0.379437 0.515180 0.691488 0.937652
2024-11-10 0.124701 0.185243 0.269500 0.394831 0.576010 0.827863 1.203979
2024-11-17 0.101317 0.161820 0.251927 0.395104 0.616038 0.943017 1.462514
2024-11-24 0.083019 0.141903 0.235325 0.393172 0.651925 1.057679 1.740131
2024-12-01 0.069165 0.125984 0.221617 0.392717 0.689390 1.180172 2.050178
2024-12-08 0.058715 0.113528 0.211040 0.395079 0.731301 1.315809 2.403593
2024-12-15 0.051356 0.105017 0.205553 0.405001 0.787514 1.483798 2.839208
2024-12-22 0.043918 0.094763 0.194862 0.403129 0.821453 1.616900 3.232707
2024-12-29 0.039025 0.088559 0.190713 0.412926 0.878914 1.801678 3.751613
2025-01-05 0.033550 0.079969 0.180115 0.407567 0.904840 1.928849 4.176585
2025-01-12 0.029868 0.074693 0.175750 0.415116 0.960027 2.125445 4.779292
2025-01-19 0.025403 0.066645 0.163790 0.403696 0.972176 2.234400 5.214826
2025-01-26 0.023190 0.063618 0.162807 0.417437 1.043619 2.482894 5.996916
2025-02-02 0.021339 0.061117 0.162622 0.433084 1.122304 2.759794 6.887533
2025-02-09 0.018910 0.056544 0.156407 0.432544 1.161535 2.951247 7.607486
2025-02-16 0.016725 0.052159 0.149843 0.429871 1.194940 3.133854 8.334803
2025-02-23 0.014909 0.048432 0.144329 0.428995 1.232915 3.333587 9.136472
2025-03-02 0.013439 0.045420 0.140232 0.431309 1.279960 3.563672 10.052580
2025-03-09 0.012408 0.043551 0.139083 0.441933 1.352099 3.870679 11.220845
2025-03-16 0.011119 0.040544 0.133955 0.439774 1.387208 4.083116 12.163651
2025-03-23 0.010315 0.038990 0.133020 0.450350 1.461947 4.416875 13.498332